【百道编按】去年，学乐图书俱乐部编辑预测2017年能够带给孩子们欢笑的童书最受欢迎，而他们推出的幽默童书《Dog Man》果然蝉联纽约时报畅销书榜52周之久。今年，学乐图书编辑再次大胆预测，明年的童书创作将呈现五大趋势。
阅读的时候，孩子们最想从书里看到什么？到了2017年年底，学乐图书俱乐部的编辑们基于他们全年为孩子们荐书的经验对于2018年儿童文学的趋势再次做了预测。过去一年中，他们的推荐让越来越多的孩子在合适的时间发现了适合自己读的图书，从而培养起了对于独立阅读的热爱。俱乐部主席朱迪•纽曼（Judy Newman）说，“我们去年预测，孩子们喜欢能让他们发笑的书，就像《Dog Man》，迄今已经在纽约时报畅销书榜上待了超过52周了，它同样也是学乐图书俱乐部最受欢迎的书籍之一。现在越来越多的父母会花时间和孩子一起大声读书，一起欢笑，并与孩子的老师密切合作通过书来搭建家校联系。我们期待看到今年的预测如何在2018年应验。”
以下就是来自俱乐部编辑的2018年童书五大前沿趋势：
1. 更多图书会以坚强的女性角色为主人公
《儿童和家庭阅读报告：第六版》研究发现，孩子们在兴趣阅读时喜欢“聪明、勇敢或坚强”的人物。预计将来会看到以能成为男孩和女孩行为榜样的强悍女性为主人公的新小说。此外，很多非虚构新书也会讲述那些缔造历史的著名女性以及当下持续推动社会进步的变革者的故事。
代表性图书：
This Little Trailblazer: A Girl Power Primer
by Joan Holub & illustrated by Daniel Roode (Simon & Schuster)
Princess Truly in My Magical, Sparkling Curls
by Kelly Greenawalt & illustrated by Amariah Rauscher (Scholastic)
Rookie Biographies: Mae Jemison by Jodie Shepherd (Scholastic)
Malala’s Magic Pencil by Malala Yousafzai & illustrated by Kerascoët (Hachette)
The Youngest Marcher: The Story of Audrey Faye Hendricks, a Young Civil Rights Activist
by Cynthia Levinson & illustrated by Vanessa Brantley-Newton (Simon & Schuster)
You Should Meet: Women Who Launched the Computer Age
by Laurie Calkhoven & illustrated by Alyssa Petersen (Simon & Schuster)
What Would She Do?: 25 True Stories of Trailblazing Rebel Women
by Kay Woodward & illustrated by various artists
Marley Dias Gets It Done: And So Can You! by Marley Dias (Scholastic)
Bad Princess: True Tales from Behind the Tiara by Kris Waldherr (Scholastic)
The Serpent's Secret by Sayantani DasGupta (Scholastic)
2. 对儿童非虚构图书的需求还将持续增长
公民教育和媒体素养将成为课堂教学计划中的重点。《学乐课堂杂志》（Scholastic Classroom Magazines）以及We the People网站等教学资源向孩子们提供适合其年龄段阅读的时事新闻，帮助他们理解和认识世界。家长也会和教师联系共同选择适读的非虚构图书，在家对孩子进行这方面的教育。很多新的非虚构童书会通过主人公之眼将读者置于某个时空或情境下，帮助他们理解气候变化、二战等各种复杂的主题。
代表性图书：
Gives Bees a Chance by Bethany Barton (Penguin Publishing Group)
There Was an Old Pirate Who Swallowed a Map!
by Lucille Colandro & illustrated by Jared D. Lee (Scholastic)
Bone by Bone: Comparing Animal Skeletons
by Sara Levine & illustrated by T.S. Spookytooth (Lerner Publishing Group)
Fly to the Rescue! (Tiny Geniuses #1) by Megan E. Bryant (Scholastic)（暂缺）
A Girl Named Rosa: The True Story of Rosa Parks (American Girl)
by Denise Lewis Patrick & illustrated by Melissa Manwill (Scholastic)
Dumb Crooks Hall of Shame: True Tales of Bloopers, Botches & Blunders （暂缺）
by Allan Zullo (Scholastic)
Chasing King’s Killer: The Hunt for Marting Luther King, Jr.’s Assassin
by James L. Swanson (Scholastic)
Finding Gobi: Young Reader’s Edition: The True Story of One Little Dog’s Big Journey
by Dion Leonard & adapted by Aaron Rosenberg (Ingram Publisher Services)
3. 经典童书系列和经典人物将在新故事中回归
去年，很多影视剧在漫画书的基础上进行再创作，将经典人物角色呈现给新一代观众。这种趋势也在童书领域持续，小读者们可以在全新的故事里重遇《篷车少年系列》（The Boxcar Children）、《神奇校车》（The Magic School Bus）、《小侦探琼斯》（Jigsaw Jones）等作品里令人难忘的主人公们。新的故事里将会增加新的人物形象，主人公们也会遇到其他意想不到的情况。
代表性图书：
Meet the Class (The Magic School Bus Rides Again)
by Samantha Brooke & illustrated by Artful Doodlers, Ltd. (Scholastic)
Clifford’s Fairy Tails: Clifford and the Fairy Dogmother & Clifford’s Fairy Tails: The Three Little Pigs and the Big Red Dog
by Daphne Pendergrass (Scholastic)(暂缺)
Motor Goose: Rhymes that Go!
by Rebecca Colby & illustrated by Jef Kaminsky (Macmillan)
The Boxcar Children Great Adventures
by Gertrude Chandler Warner & illustrated by Anthony VanArsdale (Albert Whitman & Company)
Babymouse Tales from the Locker: Lights, Camera, Middle School!
by Jennifer L. Holm & illustrated by Matthew Holm (Random House)
Jigsaw Jones Mysteries by James Preller (Macmillan)
I Survived the Children’s Blizzard, 1888 (I Survived #16) by Lauren Tarshis (Scholastic)
Wonderful Winter: All Kinds of Winter Facts and Fun by Bruce Goldstone (Macmillan)
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: Illustrated Edition
by J.K. Rowling & illustrated by Olivia Lomenech Gill (Scholastic)
Sink or Swim: Exploring Schools of Fish: A Branches Book
by Judy Katschke (Scholastic)
4. 魔幻生物将带孩子们去往新世界
《儿童和家庭阅读报告》显示，近三成孩子喜欢在阅读时“探索他们从未去过的地方和世界”。有关独角兽、独角鲸、龙的动人故事会成为明年的弄潮儿，这类故事会告诉孩子们做独一无二、真实的自己，而且往往充满幽默，这是最受孩子们欢迎的。
代表性图书：
Thelma The Unicorn by Aaron Blabey (Scholastic)
Not Quite Narwhal by Jessica Sima (Simon & Schuster)
Do You Believe in Groovicorns? by Rosie Greening (Make Believe Ideas)
Nella the Princess Knight
by Christine Ricci & illustrated by Alessandra Sorrentino (Random House)
Narwhal: Unicorn of the Sea (A Narwhal and Jelly Book #1)
by Ben Clanton (Tundra Books)
Third Grade Mermaid and the Narwhals by Peter Raymundo (Scholastic)
Louie Lets Loose! (Unicorn in New York #1) by Rachel Hamilton (Scholastic)
Unicorn Power! (Lumberjanes)
by Mariko Tamaki & illustrated by Brooklyn Allen (Abrams)
Razzle Dazzle Unicorn (Phoebe and Her Unicorn Series Book 4)
by Dana Simpson (Simon & Schuster)
Dark Wyng (The Erth Dragons #2) by Chris d’Lacey (Scholastic)
The Serpent’s Secret by Sayantani DasGupta (Scholastic)
5. 动手实践类的书讲吸引所有年龄段、不同兴趣口味的孩子
对与STEM相关的智育活动的需求越来越大，因此，出版市场上会涌现更多以编码活动、科学实验等为主题的图书。而且，很多书会辅以受孩子们欢迎的人物形象或授权产品，以期吸引更多小读者进入STEM的世界。
代表性图书：
My Little Night Light by Editors of Klutz (Scholastic)
Disney Learning: Frozen Snow Science by Scholastic Book Clubs (Scholastic)（暂缺）
My First Learn to Draw: Animals (Pencil Toppers)
by Melissa Webb (Silver Dolphin Books)
Karina Garcia’s DIY Slime by Karina Garcia (Sizzle Press)
Maker Electronics Kit (Scholastic)（暂缺）
UV Science Lab (Scholastic)（暂缺）
CoderDojo Nano: Make Your Own Game: Create With Code
by Jurie Horneman (Scholastic)
Girls Who Code: Learn to Code and Change the World
by Reshma Saujani (Penguin Publishing Group)
Space Rocks by Adrianna Edwards and Ron Edwards (Scholastic)
（本文编辑 晨瑾）
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